Thoughts In A Wandering Mind

                  The covid-19 cases in the country have once again started to rise slightly. The average of the cases for the last 7 days rose to 38 thousand from 33 thousand last week. The active cases in the country also rose from 3.53 lakh to 3.68 lakh. The daily cases are rising and the active cases are rising after a drop for past many weeks. Does this rise signify anything and requires caution? It doesn’t mean much to the country except a state which is evolving to be the single big containment zone. The main contributor is the state of Kerala which accounts for nearly 70% of the daily cases in the country for the past few days and has more than 2 lakh active cases. It is intriguing to see why a single state is causing daily infections more than 30 thousand for the past three days accounting for more than 70% of the total. More than 55% of the active cases lie with the state.     ...

              The covid-19 in the country is receding slowly and steadily. The average of the cases for the last week is 33 thousand which is four thousand less than the previous week. The active cases in the country stand at 3.53 lakh which saw a drop of over 30 thousand over the last week. Barring few states which are contributing a major portion to the daily infections, the covid-19 situation is progressively under control. This is also giving an opportunity for the states to ease the lockdown measures imposed all over the country. Most of the lockdown measures across the states in the country are relaxed and we are slowly inching back to unrestricted nation. Most of the businesses are back and all the work on the ground is going on uninhibited. The adults are engaged in meaningful routines but the kids are the mostly disturbed groups.            There are tremendous gaps in lea...

                  The covid-19 in country is stable in the curve with not much deviation. The 7-day average number of cases stands at 37 thousand which is few thousand less than previous week. The active cases also see a drop from 4.12 lakh to 3.85 lakh over the last week. This reveals we are in much better state which is improving steadily. But a major concern is that Kerala is accounting for nearly 50% of the total cases since past few weeks and has 1.8 lakh active cases which is 45% of active case load in the country. The numbers across India without Kerala stands at 20 thousand daily cases and 2 lakh active cases. With just 2.76% of India’s population, Kerala is contributing 50% of nation’s daily and active cases. This disproportion is striking and has to be corrected very soon. It can be corrected in two ways – 1. By increasing vaccination coverage and administering at least first dose to all eligible p...

               Let me try to put the spotlight back on covid-19 after a gap of last two week. The covid-19 hasn’t gone down yet in the country. The average of the cases for the last week is around 40 thousand which is hovering at that number for the last 4 weeks. The country is registering 40 thousand cases on an average for the last one month. This can go either way – increase drastically or decrease. The focus should be on decreasing the count and prevent any fast spreading mutations taking over, reign-in panic. The guard should not be let down as even experts are predicting next few months as critical for the emergence of third wave. It is to note that majority of these cases are coming from two states – Kerala and Maharashtra. Kerala alone is accounting for nearly 50% of cases in the country.   The caseload in the country is negligible minus these two states. The active cases stand at 4.12 lakhs which is seeing a ...

          The caseload of infections are progressively falling since a long time. The weekly average of cases is 38 thousand which is few thousands less than previous week. Hope we are saved from  any further calamity of bigger magnitude. As mentioned we need to be ahead of the virus to keep it at bay. The active cases are also reduced from 5 lakhs two weeks ago to 4.24 lakhs as of today. There are five states which are contributing heavily to the total toll. Maharashtra and Kerala alone are contributing more than 50% to the country-wide caseload. The focus should be on these few states going ahead.             Barring few grey areas, the daily infections are reducing, the active cases are coming down and importantly everything is gradually opening up. This defeats the catch -22 situation which I mentioned in the last post. Everyone asks what you want? Cases to go down with a bad economy or cases to go up with unrestricted move...

           The days of fewer cases are upon us these days. The caseload is falling since almost last two months. But the reduction has been very nominal in the last week. The average of cases is 46 thousand which is 4 thousand less than earlier week. Compared to the earlier fall, this is less. None the less, the infections and positivity rate are dropping. Now that the situation is improving, let us look at another important number which is the total active cases in the country. The active cases are nearly 5 lakhs which is a huge number in itself. Our priority and concentration should be to make it zero and get our country to the shores of virus-free zone. There are still few obstacles along the way which are: 1.Unlock measures by states 2. The other countries of the world are still registering infections.           Talking of the first point, it is a catch-22 situation of whether to lock or unlock. Y...

               The covid second wave in the country has settled with a semi-triangular wave as far as the daily infections are concerned. It means the infections accelerated fast, reached the peak and then decelerated in the same pace giving the wave a triangular shape. We are saved in that it is not a square wave where the peak plateaus for longer time periods. It tells the country reacted very well and kept the damage under control since the peak lasted very briefly and the cases gradually reduced. A big pat on the back for the government at all levels, administration, warriors and every one responsible for very quick reaction and taming the virus.               With that, let us hope we closed the second wave since the numbers are dropping, triangle is completed and no more spikes are in-store. The average of cases in the week saw further drop to around ...